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European software companies take around 15 years to reach €100M in ARR, five more than American ones. Radu Georgescu on why Europe is small only if you treat it as 27 markets.
October 19, 2026
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5
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The European private markets briefing you can't afford to miss. Deals, signals, and moves, decoded every Monday by SeedBlink.

Every founder in Europe starts with a ceiling they did not choose.
If you are building in a country of five, ten or twenty million people, the domestic market will carry you to a certain size and then stop. That is not a complaint about your country, it is arithmetic. A company in the United States can reach serious scale without ever crossing a border. Almost nobody in Europe can.
So there are three options. Stay local and accept the ceiling. Leave, usually for the US, and become someone else’s success story. Or build for Europe from the first day, which is harder than either of the others and the only one that compounds.
Most founders I meet are still thinking one country at a time. Win the home market, then perhaps a neighbour, then someday the rest. By the time they get to someday, the window has usually closed.
I would rather we stopped asking how to build a national champion. The question is what it takes to build a European one, and whether the answer looks anything like what we have been doing.
Europe is a small market only if you insist on treating it as twenty-seven of them.


Europe’s size constraint rarely shows up as a lack of ambition. It shows up as time.
European software companies reaching €100 million in annual recurring revenue take around 15 years to get there, roughly five years longer than American ones, per research by McKinsey and Boardwave. Between 5 and 10% of US companies that pass €100 million go on to reach €1 billion, against under 3% in Europe.
Those extra years are largely the cost of assembling a market one country at a time, and you can watch the pressure build in the registration data. Atomico’s State of European Tech 2025 finds that around 18% of European-founded seed-stage companies are based outside the continent, rising to roughly 30% by Series C and beyond. More than 60% of founders who have considered moving name access to capital as the main reason. Leaving is rarely a founding decision. It is a scaling decision, taken at the point where the domestic ceiling becomes visible.
What the same report also shows is that leaving is not what the winners did. Of European-origin companies now worth more than a billion dollars, 87% are still headquartered in Europe. Only 13% moved to the US on the way up.
Which points to the third response: building across borders early rather than relocating later. The smallest markets are best at it. The Nordics hold roughly 4% of Europe’s population and produced 73 unicorns between 2013 and 2023, about 17% of the continent’s total, according to node.vc. Estonia, with fewer than 1.4 million people, is home to ten. Earlier Atomico research puts a mechanism behind it: companies from countries under 50 million people expand internationally in an average of 1.4 years, less than half the time taken by those from larger domestic markets.
Which suggests the awkward size is not small. It is medium. A domestic market of forty or sixty million is large enough to build a respectable business without ever leaving, and too small to build a global one. The constraint still arrives, only later, once the company has been built around the assumption that it would not.
For investors, that becomes a question worth asking early. Is this company designed to cross borders, or will crossing them mean rebuilding it? The first is a plan. The second is a rewrite, usually attempted at the point of maximum pressure.

Kinderpedia shares are now available on SeedBlink Secondaries
A SeedBlink alumnus is back on the platform, this time on the secondary market. Founded in Romania in 2018, Kinderpedia builds a school operating system for K-12 schools and early-years providers, covering admissions and enrolment, administration, learning and assessment, tuition management and family engagement in a single system. It now serves 723 paying school accounts across 794 locations and around 70,300 student accounts, with customers in Europe, the Middle East, Africa and Latin America.
The company grew revenue from €20.6k in 2018 to €1.51 million in 2025, reached operating profitability in 2024 and closed a second consecutive profitable year in 2025. Its current ARR run-rate is €1.69 million. In February 2026, Kinderpedia announced €2.2 million secured as part of a €3.5 million round led by Simpact Ventures.
Existing shareholders and new investors can now buy shares at €6.23 per share.
Learn more on SeedBlink Secondaries.

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Written by

Denisa Lacatus
Communication and Content Specialist
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