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Eyes on Tomorrow: What’s Coming Next in the European VC Landscape?

patricia-borlovan

Patricia Borlovan

· 4 min read
Eyes on Tomorrow: What’s Coming Next in the European VC Landscape?
Description: Exploring Europe's tech & VC landscape: trends, challenges, and the future of startup funding in the near future.

Europe has transformed into a global tech powerhouse, challenging even the biggest players on the innovation stage. But what does the first half of 2023 reflect so far, and what should we expect from the near future?

Let’s find out together by navigating the latest venture capital industry reports!

The European Opportunity

Fintech, Health, and Enterprise Software have claimed the big slice of VC investments, making up around 40% of all venture capital activities between 2003 and 2023. Europe's share of global venture capital funding has skyrocketed from 5% two decades ago to 20% today.

Source: Creandum & Dealroom 2023

Source: Creandum & Dealroom 2023

The momentum doesn't stop there – in seed funding, Europe now attracts a whopping third of the global total.

Source: Creandum & Dealroom 2023

Source: Creandum & Dealroom 2023

Europe now has 514 unicorns spread out across 65 cities and 25 countries, the highest density of unicorn tech hubs of any region globally. The European tech ecosystem has grown massively in the last decade, worth $2.5T. Value creation is accelerating, with the youngest startup cohorts worth the most.

Source: Creandum & Dealroom 2023

Source: Creandum & Dealroom 2023

The growing European tech talent from various communities also supports the flywheel effect. After a decade, the employees of 1990s unicorns started new startups.

Source: State of Tech — First Look 2023

Source: State of Tech — First Look 2023

For 2000s unicorns, this number soared to 75, and for 2010s unicorns, it reached a remarkable 801, indicating a sustained and robust pace of startup creation over time.

Future expectations:

According to the same report published by Creandum & Dealroom, here’s what we should expect from the European tech ecosystem in the next 20 years.

  • A more experienced venture capital landscape.
  • Startup flywheel effects coming up from multiple countries.
  • Higher engineering and scientific talent.

Venture Capital in The First Half of 2023

In the first half of 2023, the VC ecosystem witnessed notable shifts in startup funding and valuation trends. The signs are visible, particularly in the late and venture-growth stages, according to the latest European VC Valuations Report by Pitchbook.

$3T Ecosystem Value is Back to 2021 Levels

After stagnation over the last two years, the collective worth of European tech companies, both in the private and public sectors, has bounced back.

Source: State of Tech — First Look 2023

Source: State of Tech — First Look 2023

Over the past decade, the ecosystem has showcased notable growth, contributing an impressive $2 trillion in value since 2017. This consistent expansion reflects an average annual growth rate of 23% throughout the last ten years.

Angel and Seed Valuations Show Resilience in Downturn

Source: European VC Valuations Report by Pitchbook

Source: European VC Valuations Report by Pitchbook

Key Takeaways:

  • Early-Stage Resilience — Angel and seed rounds demonstrated remarkable resilience during H1 2023. These initial stages displayed positive trends, with median deal values and valuations showcasing growth. It highlights the relatively insulated nature of activities at these earlier stages compared to their later counterparts.
  • Positive Momentum — In the first half of 2023, both median angel and seed deal values exceeded the full-year figures from 2022. Of particular note is the significant increase in median angel deal value, surging by 28.8% compared to the previous year. Median angel valuations rose 10.2% compared to 2022, while median seed-stage valuations remained stable.
  • Macro Factors at Play — Macroeconomic factors, such as interest rates, influence market dynamics, leading to startups confronting more conservative valuations. Given the evolving landscape, stakeholders within the venture capital market might have to adopt a patient approach.

As liquidity and capital experience constraints, startups, investors, and industry players may need to extend their runways and adjust strategies to align with the recalibrating market conditions.

Decline Interest From Nontraditional Investors

Nontraditional investors show a declining interest in European VC, both in terms of overall deal value and as a portion of total deal value.

Source: European VC Valuations Report by Pitchbook

Source: European VC Valuations Report by Pitchbook

Interesting trends and patterns:

  • Nontraditional investor decline — Market volatility and tougher fundraising environments have decreased nontraditional investor involvement, accounting for 72.1% of deal value in H1 2023, down from 73.8% in 2022.
  • Changing investment landscape — The decrease in nontraditional investor participation aligns with shifting dynamics in the European VC ecosystem. The venture market has become less favorable for these investors due to market uncertainties, impacting their involvement and capital allocation.
  • Ongoing uncertainty — The trend suggests that nontraditional investor participation will likely continue waning. Amid ongoing uncertainty and changing market conditions, these players may further scale back their involvement in European VC activities.
  • Value vs. Volume — The decline in nontraditional investor participation prompts questions about whether the reduction comes from value or volume. Despite the decrease in overall deal value, deal count with nontraditional investor involvement has remained relatively stable at around 38% since 2021. So, investors might still consider the venture market in smaller rounds at earlier stages with lower deal values.

$16B for European Startups in Q2 2023

In the second quarter of 2023, European startups saw a steady influx of investment, with $16B injected into the ecosystem.

The continuous flow of capital into European startups highlights the sustained interest and confidence in the region's innovation and entrepreneurial endeavors, contributing to the ongoing growth and development of the startup landscape.

Source: Global VC Update — Dealroom

Source: Global VC Update — Dealroom

Future Thoughts

As Europe solidifies its position as a global tech powerhouse, the first half of 2023 has brought insightful glimpses into the trajectory of its startup ecosystem.

With a solid base of unicorns and a dynamic talent pool, the future holds opportunities for experienced VC landscapes and cross-border innovation collaboration. Europe's resilience culture remains determined as it navigates evolving dynamics and economic shifts.

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